Its speculative, but if you have been following MOL for 2 years as you say, I doubt anyone on this particular forum could give you any further information than what you have already compiled.
I play around with speccies and 'penny dreadfuls' all the time, but put the majority of profits into a balanced bluechip portfolio.
In the last year have made a killing on SSN (bought at 3 cents, sold at 21c), have taken hits on CXY and MMZ and did really well buying a pile of FMG shares at $1.38 at the height of the GFC when every 'expert' was telling people not to invest in the sharemarket. FMG are up above $6.50 now